Nedbank Challenge – betting tips 43


The Rolex Series continues in South Africa this week with the Gary Player course hosting the European Tour in Sun City. Last year conditions were tough and it took one of the rounds of the year from Alex Noren to take the spoils. 

One player who find life particularly tough was Martin Kaymer who opened with an 81. To his credit he kept battling and played the final three days in 2-under; that would have been good enough for a top-10 finish.

The truth is the German has badly gone off the boil and is now ranked 77th in the word. It’s happened before and i’m sure he will find the answer again.

If the Gary Player course play firm and testing again then ti will suit Kaymer who has won two majors on difficult courses.

A T27 at Valederrama (ranked 7th for GIRs) offered some hope and when it does all click again, we will be kicking ourselves for ignoring a huge price about an 11-time winner on tour.

1pt each-way Martin Kaymer at 60/1 Paddy Power (6 places; 1/5 odds)

43 thoughts on “Nedbank Challenge – betting tips

  • Kaiser

    porteus FRL….coetzee FRL scott hend FRL
    lindheim outwright, stefani FRL, hossler FRL and outwright

    be nice them

  • Greg

    Who would have though. Kaymer at $61. I thought he showed good signs at The Masters after opening with a 78. I agree Simon he is one player that can turn it around.

      • Greg

        No luck of The Irish Ron. They know what they are doing. The Irish have been winning this race a number of times since Dermot Weld won it with Vintage Crop in 1993. Isn’t it ironic that Aidan, the genius, has been trying to win this race for a long time and along comes his son. It’s quite funny actually. The Melbourne Cup always provides these amazing stories. I have to thank Craig on this site for bringing Rekindling to my attention. I backed Humidor, who didn’t stay, and Rekindling. After what Craig said I looked into the horse and heard from Lloyd Williams, one of the owners, stating that the good 3 year olds have been beating the older horses this year in Europe. Rekindling is still a 3 year old in Australian racing birth dates. With his light weight and good barrier draw he looked hard to beat. And I’m sure the Irish tonight in Melbourne will win the drinking competitions too. Is Joseph even old enough to drink yet? lol

        • Ron B

          Nah young Joseph doesn’t strike me as the drinking type far too sensible or boring depending on your outlook! He’s only 24

  • Rick Poplawski




    Out of form with all punting at the moment so very speculative.


  • sean

    Doesn’t get any easier to pick a winner.
    16/1 The Field says it all.
    Charl Schwartzel……25/1
    Lee Westwood………40/1
    Outsider,Richard Sterne 100/1

    G L A

  • Robbie

    Getting closer to the big 1.C Hoffman let me down for 1rl double last week.
    Long shots, smith/stuard e/way double; southgate/Vegas e/way double.
    1rl doubles crossed

  • kaiser

    treble that floats my boat due to extra places with paddy

    porteus 100-1 on 6 places
    funk 100-1 on 5 places
    chez revie 28-1 on 7 places

    drinking in the last chance saloon again

    • Robbie

      You and me both Kaiser, had Colsaerts and Porteous last week 1rl double with Hoffman and McGirt 1 half showed up . In play with Spaun at 40s and he fell over as well…….aargh! 😭

      • kaiser

        it all becomes a nightmare the doubles and trebles punting…we all have our close ones…its like playing battle ships….gets annoying when you have one player in the club house…other one is always just out of a placing …or boggies the last hole to scupper the bet….but having said that if anybody is ever lucky enough to get a first and a first it could be a game changing win 🙂
        or the other scenario is the guy you choose rocks up the week after….that fecks your turnip as well lol

        hope its

        • Brian

          Keep the stakes low and go for the doubles. Its worth it when one lands. But yes,aches when you get half right.

          • Robbie

            1rd leader doubles Smith and stuard; Baddley n Fritteli, rescue n Porteous not crossed may regret it but u can’t get them all.
            Lahiri n Colsaerts outright
            Cheers guys.

  • Warrick

    Hi All
    A T20 double again

    Nedbank…..Mike Lorenzo Vera T20 ….5/1
    OHL…………Oscar Frausto T20…………9/1

  • Craig h

    A bit of guessing games here as there was around 20 players I considered before my money went down.

    Matty fitz 18/1
    Francesco molinari 20/1
    RCB 25/1

    As always good luck all.

  • Callum

    Frittelli – 50/1
    Kaymer – 50/1
    Porteous – 100/1
    Gallacher – 125/1

    Aphibarnrat – 33/1
    Porteous – 50/1

    • Crazylegs

      Outright Doobles as follows…
      Kaymer 50 x Reavie 40
      Fritelli 50 x Lahiri 40
      Smith 100 x Stuard 100


  • kaiser

    hate this game….battle ship sunk…FRL porteus…moving into posistion took a 7 on a par 4…game over !!! aaargh !!

      • Kaiser

        good stuff warrick..great to see someone who tries to uncover a longer odds unpolished gem…the stats was there on him…likes the track…he ticked the boxes..fantastic pick…alas i did him frl….doah !!

        hope he continues for you on this weeks quest

  • Robbie

    1rd leader bets a disaster , had more chance with last in 1rd leader!
    Re_load as you say Kaiser had an in play dabble on Horsey at 55’s
    Fancy in play on Simons choice Reavie was 40’s I think although winner will be Fowler or kizzire

  • Greg

    I’ve bombed out early in both tournaments this week. I’m off to play something; not golf. Good luck whoever is still in the hunt.

  • Craig h

    WTF, molinari hits back to back treble bogeys on 16 and 17 to drop from the places and miss out on a e/w.
    Worst thing is I was going to back Brandon Grace but after he was cut from 20/1 to 16/1 I swapped to molinari f**cling typical.

  • Alex

    Gutted that Victor didn’t seal the deal at 50/1. Had him eyed up for next week, but glad I backed him this week. A place is better than nothing.

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